Betting on mixed martial arts, and also the UFC in particular, should be quite appealing to folks that are drawn to betting on underdogs. Because the sport uses moneyline betting it’s far from rare to find underdogs heading off at quite high potential yields, and upsets are a big part of the game. Obviously, you can not just blindly bet on all underdogs and aspire to earn a profit — it can’t be that easy. There are a number of scenarios in which you are far more likely to find a potentially profitable underdog than others. Here are five such scenarios to be on the lookout for:
A favourite drawing enormous public activity — The UFC does a really good job of encouraging their stars and making their best fighters seem very great. When those fighters struggle, then, it’s very common to see them go off as very heavy favorites. A good deal of UFC bettors are only casual lovers, so they will be much more on reputation than anything else, and that means they will be drawn to the favorites. Many times, though, the underdog is not nearly as outclassed since the odds would imply that they are. When a heavy favorite is drawing on a significant bulk of the bets on a struggle then you can be confident in most cases that the chances are higher than they should be on that fighter. That in turn means the underdog probably faces more attractive odds than you could otherwise expect. The underdog will not always be attractive just because they are facing better chances than they probably should, however in the event that you can normally make a situation that the underdog has a solid chance then gambling on them could become even more appealing at inflated chances.
An underdog with strong history out UFC — Most UFC bettors are not overall MMA bettors, and they do not follow the game outside of the UFC pay-per0view and broadcast events. Even though there are fewer and fewer other top level organizations on the market that are still some very good fighters toiling outside the UFC. When a fighter comes to the UFC to fight for the very first time they often will not get a lot of admiration from bettors — especially if they are against a UFC veteran — unless they are heavily promoted. If you do your homework, however, you may find that the fighter is in fact rather remarkable and more than capable of giving his rival a challenging match on the greatest stage.
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